01 · The official
Nate Cearley
Own record: +0.2 points vs expected, about average (likely −2.9 to +3.4). That separates Cearley’s part from the partners’, and compares it with what an average official would score on the same mix of calls.
Not enough graded plays to rank yet
02 · Season by season
Late-game accuracy by season
Grey bars have fewer than 50 graded plays, so read them lightly. The red bar is the best season with 150 or more.
Each label is the year the season ended. Bars start at 80%.
04 · Whistle tendencies
Fouls and free throws with Nate Cearley on the crew
Per 100 possessions against the league average, adjusted for the teams on the floor. The shaded band is the likely range; the bar is the best single estimate. Based on about 10 games.
Likely range: −1.3 to +2.5 fouls per 100 possessions. That includes the league average of 43.9, so the foul count is close to typical.
Likely range: −1.7 to +2.0 free throws per 100 possessions. That includes the league average of 48.5, so the free-throw count is close to typical.
Likely range: −0.8 to +0.7 home minus away free throws per 100 possessions. That includes the league average of 0.7, so the home edge is close to typical.
05 · Recent games
On the floor lately
The last 5 games in our data. Tap one for how the whistle went.
- POR @ LALOct 27, 2026
- MEM @ UTAHOct 26, 2026
- NO @ DENOct 24, 2026
- CHA @ MILJan 2, 2026
- MIN @ CHIDec 29, 2025
Source: the NBA’s own Last Two Minute reports. The reports do not say who made each call, so the headline accuracy covers every graded play in this official’s games; the own record and the rank are this official’s part of it. The likely rank range shows how sure the rank is. Officials need a fair amount of graded late-game work before they are ranked. “Vs expected” compares a record with what an average crew would get on the same mix of calls. Whistle tendencies describe how games tend to look with this official working them. They are not a judgment of any single call. Updated each morning; data last built Oct 31, 2026.