01 · The official
Marc Davis
Own record: −0.5 points vs expected, about average (likely −1.8 to +0.7). That separates Davis’s part from the partners’, and compares it with what an average official would score on the same mix of calls.
Rank 54 of 86 · likely 34th to 66th
02 · Season by season
Late-game accuracy by season
Grey bars have fewer than 50 graded plays, so read them lightly. The red bar is the best season with 150 or more.
Each label is the year the season ended. Bars start at 80%.
03 · Where the misses are
Miss rate by call type
Share of graded plays the NBA’s report marked as errors, for call types with 50 or more graded plays, next to the league rate for the same type. The five highest are shown.
| Call type | Graded | Miss rate | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover: Traveling | 105 | 39.1% | 36.9% |
| Foul: Defense 3 Second | 73 | 34.3% | 41.3% |
| Foul: Loose Ball | 557 | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Stoppage: Out-of-Bounds | 74 | 6.8% | 7.1% |
| Foul: Shooting | 1,486 | 6.3% | 6.0% |
An arrow marks a rate at least 25% above the league rate on the same call type. Small gaps on small samples are normal.
04 · Whistle tendencies
Fouls and free throws with Marc Davis on the crew
Per 100 possessions against the league average, adjusted for the teams on the floor. The shaded band is the likely range; the bar is the best single estimate. Based on about 333 games.
Likely range: −4.2 to −2.1 fouls per 100 possessions. That sits below the league average of 43.9.
Likely range: −3.1 to −0.2 free throws per 100 possessions. That sits below the league average of 48.5.
Likely range: −0.7 to +0.7 home minus away free throws per 100 possessions. That includes the league average of 0.7, so the home edge is close to typical.
05 · Recent games
On the floor lately
The last 5 games in our data. Tap one for how the whistle went.
- DET @ BKN · 110-94Recap →Oct 30, 2026
- NYK @ CHI · 133-127Recap →Oct 28, 2026
- IND @ MILOct 26, 2026
- TOR @ WSHOct 23, 2026
- SA @ NYJun 8, 2026
Source: the NBA’s own Last Two Minute reports. The reports do not say who made each call, so the headline accuracy covers every graded play in this official’s games; the own record and the rank are this official’s part of it. The likely rank range shows how sure the rank is. Officials need a fair amount of graded late-game work before they are ranked. “Vs expected” compares a record with what an average crew would get on the same mix of calls. Whistle tendencies describe how games tend to look with this official working them. They are not a judgment of any single call. Updated each morning; data last built Oct 31, 2026.