“Whistle's average and Utah won't be living at the free-throw line, so Jaren Jackson Jr. better keep his hands to himself or the bench gets a front-row seat.”
MONTY SAYS
THE WHISTLE FORECAST
Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · before tip-off
UTA @ SAS Utah at San Antonio
THE CREW Not posted yet. The league names it about 9 a.m. ET on game day.
The price and the whistle
Moneyline not posted yet.
Whistle edge: SAS should get about 2.8 more free throws.
Win chance is the market’s, from the moneyline with the bookmaker’s margin removed. Not our pick. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
CREW READ
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
SAS should get to the line more: about 2.8 extra free throws.
When UTA have the ballLeans quiet
quietleague middlebusy
UTA draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 8th most. SAS commit fouls: 6th fewest; give up free throws: 1st fewest. Expected free throws for UTA: 22.1.
When SAS have the ballLeans busy
quietleague middlebusy
SAS draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 10th fewest. UTA commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: 4th most. Expected free throws for SAS: 24.9.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
UTA SAS
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
What to expect
vs league avg
UTA
22.1
free throws
FT quieter
Fouls average
SAS
24.9
free throws
FT busier
Fouls average
Foul trouble
2 fouls in Q1 or 3 by half
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Very high
2.4× a typical starter · 27% chance
Riskier than 97% of regulars; 1st highest of 82 on the slate.
Who’s out
UTA
Nobody listed
SAS
Nobody listed
The lines
Lines not posted yet. Books usually open the day before.
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
A forecast from pre-game data. Not a pick. One game is noise; we score the crew read by season: our track record.