“Too early to read this crew, and I don't marry nobody on the first date. One of these three still gets lost on the way to the arena. Halloween night, Philly foul more than they should, and the scariest thing on that floor is Maxey picking up his fourth.”
MONTY SAYS
THE WHISTLE FORECAST
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 6:00 PM ET · before tip-off
PHI @ CHA Philadelphia at Charlotte
THE CREWBen Taylorchief·Andy Nagy·Italo Araujo
- Most whistles expected on the slate
- Total moved down 2
The price and the whistle
DraftKings
Market win chance
Whistle edge: none. Both teams should see the line about the same.
Win chance is the market’s, from the moneyline with the bookmaker’s margin removed. Not our pick. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
CREW READ
TOO EARLY
At least one official has too few games for a fair read. We show the officials, not a verdict.
On the whistle
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
The busier end is when CHA have the ball.
When PHI have the ballLeans quiet
quietleague middlebusy
PHI draw fouls: 8th fewest; get to the line: mid-pack. CHA commit fouls: 9th fewest; give up free throws: 6th fewest. Expected free throws for PHI: 23.1.
When CHA have the ballLeans quiet
quietleague middlebusy
CHA draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 0th fewest. PHI commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: mid-pack. Expected free throws for CHA: 22.6.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
PHI CHA
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
What to expect
vs league avg
PHI
23.1
free throws
FT quieter
Fouls busier
CHA
22.6
free throws
FT quieter
Fouls average
Foul trouble
2 fouls in Q1 or 3 by half
Tyrese Maxey
Elevated
1.5× a typical starter · 16% chance
Riskier than 64% of regulars; 10th highest of 32 on the slate.
Who’s out
PHI
- Jaylen Brown DTD
- Joel Embiid DTD
- LeBron James DTD
CHA
Nobody listed
The lines
DraftKings · open → latest
| Total | 216.5 → 214.5▼ 2 |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHA +1.5 → +1.5 |
| Moneyline | PHI -120 → -112 · CHA +100 → -108 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
A forecast from pre-game data. Not a pick. How we grade