“I called this crew average and I was dead wrong. Thirty fouls, a quiet whistle, and Philly still beat NY in their own building. Turns out the average one was me.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · Final
NYK @ PHI New York at Philadelphia
THE CREWBill Kennedychief·Kevin Scott·Simone Jelks
NYK 93PHI 98
- Total moved down 7
WHISTLE VOLUME
32.9
fouls per 100 possessions · −11.1 vs average
quieter than 77% of games since 2015
OUR CREW READ
Missed
Read as average before tip-off; it came in −11.1 fouls per 100 vs average.
We print the misses as loud as the hits.
Fouls by quarter
NYK PHI
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| NYK | 20.5 → 16.4 | 23.0 → 15.4 |
| PHI | 20.7 → 16.5 | 23.6 → 17.6 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: NYK 14, PHI 16.
Foul-trouble watch: LeBron James (PHI)
2 fouls · 20 pts · 34 min
Key whistles
- Q1 3:27 Josh Hart (NYK), offensive foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q2 2:30 Josh Hart (NYK), shooting foul: 3rd foul before half
- Q4 2:42 LeBron James (PHI), personal foul: close finish
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
CREW READ
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
Both ends look alike: no free-throw edge either way.
When NYK have the ballLeans busy
quietleague middlebusy
NYK draw fouls: 10th most; get to the line: 6th fewest. PHI commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: 9th most. Expected free throws for NYK: 21.0.
When PHI have the ballMiddle of the road
quietleague middlebusy
PHI draw fouls: 10th fewest; get to the line: mid-pack. NYK commit fouls: 8th most; give up free throws: mid-pack. Expected free throws for PHI: 21.5.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
NYK PHI
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
What to expect
vs league avg
NYK
21.0
free throws
PHI
21.5
free throws
Who’s out
NYK
Nobody listed
PHI
- Jaylen Brown OUT
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 231.5 → 224.5▼ 7 |
|---|---|
| Spread | PHI -1.5 → +3.5 |
| Moneyline | NYK +105 → -155 · PHI -125 → +130 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls−0.5 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.2 and +0.2 per 100 poss.
n = 89 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws−0.5 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.4 and +0.5 per 100 poss.
n = 89 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line±0.0 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.8 and +0.9 points.
n = 89 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Download the post-game card for sharing.
Counts and rates, not verdicts. How we grade