“Average crew, 44 fouls, and the Wizards still won at home. I called it average before tip, and I'm insufferable about it. Charlotte, the whistle wasn't the problem. Your defence was on a lunch break.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · Final
CHA @ WAS Charlotte at Washington
THE CREWJames Caperschief·Sean Corbin·Brandon Schwab
CHA 79WAS 95
- Total moved down 16
WHISTLE VOLUME
45.2
fouls per 100 possessions · +1.2 vs average
2,225th busiest of 13,660 games since 2015
OUR CREW READ
Right direction
Read as average before tip-off; it came in +1.2 fouls per 100 vs average.
Fouls by quarter
CHA WAS
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| CHA | 19.6 → 26.9 | 21.9 → 12.0 |
| WAS | 21.0 → 18.0 | 21.4 → 37.1 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: CHA 12, WAS 35.
Foul-trouble watch: Naz Reid (CHA)
4 fouls · 12 pts · 31 min
Key whistles
- Q1 8:50 Kyshawn George (WAS), loose ball foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q2 0:55 Naz Reid (CHA), shooting foul: 3rd foul before half
- Q3 6:27 Naz Reid (CHA), shooting foul: 4th foul in Q3
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
CREW READ
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
CHA should get to the line more: about 1.8 extra free throws.
When CHA have the ballMiddle of the road
quietleague middlebusy
CHA draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 2nd fewest. WAS commit fouls: 7th most; give up free throws: mid-pack. Expected free throws for CHA: 22.0.
When WAS have the ballQuiet end
quietleague middlebusy
WAS draw fouls: 4th fewest; get to the line: 9th fewest. CHA commit fouls: 7th fewest; give up free throws: 3rd fewest. Expected free throws for WAS: 20.2.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
CHA WAS
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
What to expect
vs league avg
CHA
22.0
free throws
WAS
20.2
free throws
Who’s out
CHA
Nobody listed
WAS
- Justin Champagnie OUT
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 234.5 → 218.5▼ 16 |
|---|---|
| Spread | WAS +1.5 → +1.5 |
| Moneyline | CHA -115 → -115 · WAS -105 → -105 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls−0.4 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.1 and +0.3 per 100 poss.
n = 150 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws−0.6 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.4 and +0.3 per 100 poss.
n = 150 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line±0.0 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.9 and +0.8 points.
n = 150 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
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Counts and rates, not verdicts. How we grade