“I called this crew average and got humbled in Utah's building. Wembanyama picked up four fouls and still treated the place like his living room.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · Final
SAS @ UTA San Antonio at Utah
THE CREWTony Brotherschief·John Conley·John Butler
SAS 117UTA 111
- Total moved down 2
WHISTLE VOLUME
33.7
fouls per 100 possessions · −11.2 vs average
quieter than 73% of games since 2015
OUR CREW READ
Missed
Read as average before tip-off; it came in −11.2 fouls per 100 vs average.
We print the misses as loud as the hits.
Fouls by quarter
SAS UTA
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| SAS | 19.7 → 16.9 | 25.1 → 19.8 |
| UTA | 20.8 → 16.8 | 21.9 → 17.7 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: SAS 21, UTA 19.
Foul-trouble watch: Victor Wembanyama (SAS)
4 fouls · 36 pts · 39 min
Key whistles
- Q1 7:31 Josh Green (UTA), personal foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q1 6:44 Victor Wembanyama (SAS), personal foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q2 8:44 Josh Green (UTA), shooting foul: 3rd foul before half
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
CREW READ
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
SAS should get to the line more: about 3.2 extra free throws.
When SAS have the ballLeans busy
quietleague middlebusy
SAS draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: mid-pack. UTA commit fouls: 10th most; give up free throws: 3rd most. Expected free throws for SAS: 26.7.
When UTA have the ballLeans quiet
quietleague middlebusy
UTA draw fouls: 10th most; get to the line: 7th most. SAS commit fouls: 6th fewest; give up free throws: 1st fewest. Expected free throws for UTA: 23.5.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
SAS UTA
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
What to expect
vs league avg
SAS
26.7
free throws
UTA
23.5
free throws
Who’s out
SAS
Nobody listed
UTA
- Lauri Markkanen OUT
- Jaren Jackson Jr. OUT
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 234.5 → 232.5▼ 2 |
|---|---|
| Spread | UTA +12.5 → +13.5 |
| Moneyline | SAS -575 → -750 · UTA +425 → +525 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls±0.0 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.7 and +0.7 per 100 poss.
n = 124 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws+0.5 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.4 and +1.4 per 100 poss.
n = 124 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line±0.0 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.9 and +0.8 points.
n = 124 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
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Counts and rates, not verdicts. How we grade