“I called this crew average, and I was wrong out loud. Fifty-two fouls is a bar fight with a whistle. Siakam had six and still scored 26, and Philly won in Indiana's building anyway. Don't tell the commissioner I missed.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · Final
PHI @ IND Philadelphia at Indiana
THE CREWCourtney Kirklandchief·Phenizee Ransom·Aaron Smith
PHI 114IND 109
- Total moved down 3
WHISTLE VOLUME
50.0
fouls per 100 possessions · +5.1 vs average
600th busiest of 13,645 games since 2015
OUR CREW READ
Missed
Read as average before tip-off; it came in +5.1 fouls per 100 vs average.
We print the misses as loud as the hits.
Fouls by quarter
PHI IND
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| PHI | 20.5 → 29.0 | 25.0 → 23.2 |
| IND | 20.4 → 21.1 | 22.9 → 33.5 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: PHI 24, IND 35.
Foul-trouble watch: Pascal Siakam (IND)
6 fouls · 26 pts · 34 min
Key whistles
- Q3 2:38 VJ Edgecombe (PHI), shooting foul: 4th foul in Q3
- Q4 2:20 Pascal Siakam (IND), personal foul: 5th foul, close finish
- Q4 0:12 Pascal Siakam (IND), personal take foul: fouled out, close finish
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
CREW READ
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
PHI should get to the line more: about 2.0 extra free throws.
When PHI have the ballLeans busy
quietleague middlebusy
PHI draw fouls: 10th fewest; get to the line: mid-pack. IND commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: 6th most. Expected free throws for PHI: 25.9.
When IND have the ballMiddle of the road
quietleague middlebusy
IND draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 9th fewest. PHI commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: mid-pack. Expected free throws for IND: 23.9.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
PHI IND
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
What to expect
vs league avg
PHI
25.9
free throws
IND
23.9
free throws
Who’s out
PHI
Nobody listed
IND
- Tyrese Haliburton OUT
- Ivica Zubac OUT
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 237.5 → 234.5▼ 3 |
|---|---|
| Spread | IND +1.5 → +7.5 |
| Moneyline | PHI -125 → -278 · IND +105 → +225 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls±0.0 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.7 and +0.6 per 100 poss.
n = 197 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws−0.1 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.0 and +0.8 per 100 poss.
n = 197 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line−0.1 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.0 and +0.7 points.
n = 197 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
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Counts and rates, not verdicts. How we grade