“I called this crew average, and Houston went into Milwaukee and won 132-100. Thirty-six fouls, a quiet whistle, and I'm the one who got ejected.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · Final
HOU @ MIL Houston at Milwaukee
THE CREWBrian Fortechief·Sean Corbin·Kastine Evans
HOU 132MIL 100
WHISTLE VOLUME
35.1
fouls per 100 possessions · −9.8 vs average
quieter than 67% of games since 2015
OUR CREW READ
Missed
Read as average before tip-off; it came in −9.8 fouls per 100 vs average.
We print the misses as loud as the hits.
Fouls by quarter
HOU MIL
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| HOU | 19.0 → 15.6 | 23.4 → 25.4 |
| MIL | 20.4 → 19.4 | 21.5 → 17.5 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: HOU 26, MIL 18.
Foul-trouble watch: Amen Thompson (HOU)
3 fouls · 23 pts · 33 min
BEFORE TIP-OFF
CREW READ
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
HOU should get to the line more: about 1.9 extra free throws.
When HOU have the ballBusy end
quietleague middlebusy
HOU draw fouls: 7th most; get to the line: mid-pack. MIL commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: 7th most. Expected free throws for HOU: 24.0.
When MIL have the ballQuiet end
quietleague middlebusy
MIL draw fouls: 1st fewest; get to the line: 2nd fewest. HOU commit fouls: 3rd fewest; give up free throws: 10th fewest. Expected free throws for MIL: 22.1.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
HOU MIL
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
What to expect
vs league avg
HOU
24.0
free throws
MIL
22.1
free throws
Who’s out
HOU
- Alperen Sengun OUT
MIL
Nobody listed
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 227.5 → 226.5▼ 1 |
|---|---|
| Spread | MIL +8.5 → +8.5 |
| Moneyline | HOU -310 → -340 · MIL +250 → +270 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls−0.5 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.4 and +0.3 per 100 poss.
n = 0 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws−0.4 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.3 and +0.6 per 100 poss.
n = 0 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line−0.2 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.1 and +0.6 points.
n = 0 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Download the post-game card for sharing.
Counts and rates, not verdicts. How we grade