“We called this crew average. Forty-seven fouls later, that read needs a stretcher. Detroit won at home, and I'm the one who signed off on "average." Mea culpa, loud and proud.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · Final
CHA @ DET Charlotte at Detroit
THE CREWBill Kennedychief·Sean Wright·Tyler Ricks
CHA 89DET 97
- Total moved down 4
WHISTLE VOLUME
50.2
fouls per 100 possessions · +5.3 vs average
565th busiest of 13,645 games since 2015
OUR CREW READ
Missed
Read as average before tip-off; it came in +5.3 fouls per 100 vs average.
We print the misses as loud as the hits.
Fouls by quarter
CHA DET
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| CHA | 21.3 → 24.1 | 23.9 → 19.9 |
| DET | 22.1 → 26.1 | 23.6 → 21.8 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: CHA 19, DET 20.
Foul-trouble watch: Duncan Robinson (DET)
3 fouls · 13 pts · 32 min
Key whistles
- Q1 6:55 Dennis Schroder (CHA), personal foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q1 4:02 John Collins (DET), loose ball foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q2 3:05 Duncan Robinson (DET), personal foul: 3rd foul before half
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
CREW READ
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
CHA should get to the line more: about 1.1 extra free throws.
When CHA have the ballLeans busy
quietleague middlebusy
CHA draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 1st fewest. DET commit fouls: 2nd most; give up free throws: 1st most. Expected free throws for CHA: 22.8.
When DET have the ballMiddle of the road
quietleague middlebusy
DET draw fouls: 4th most; get to the line: 4th most. CHA commit fouls: 4th fewest; give up free throws: 2nd fewest. Expected free throws for DET: 21.7.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
CHA DET
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
What to expect
vs league avg
CHA
22.8
free throws
DET
21.7
free throws
Who’s out
CHA
Nobody listed
DET
Nobody listed
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 216.5 → 212.5▼ 4 |
|---|---|
| Spread | DET -7.5 → -7.5 |
| Moneyline | CHA +245 → +235 · DET -305 → -290 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls+0.5 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.3 and +1.2 per 100 poss.
n = 65 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws+0.3 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.7 and +1.2 per 100 poss.
n = 65 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line±0.0 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.8 and +0.9 points.
n = 65 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
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Counts and rates, not verdicts. How we grade