“We called this crew average. Average my f***. Fifty-seven fouls, Jaren Jackson Jr. at five and still scoring 20, and the Lakers went into Utah and won 132-123. I missed this one worse than a rookie at the line.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · Final
LAL @ UTA Los Angeles Lakers at Utah
THE CREWMark Lindsay(19)chief·J.B. DeRosa(new)·Brandon Adair(33)
LAL 132UTA 123
- Biggest free-throw gap: LAL +3.1
WHISTLE VOLUME
54.9
fouls per 100 possessions · +9.7 vs average
119th busiest of 13,625 games since 2015
OUR CREW READ
Missed
Read as average before tip-off; it came in +9.7 fouls per 100 vs average.
We print the misses as loud as the hits.
Fouls by quarter
LAL UTA
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| LAL | 20.3 → 23.1 | 26.9 → 36.6 |
| UTA | 20.9 → 31.8 | 23.9 → 26.0 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: LAL 38, UTA 27.
Free throws: actual vs expected
Bar = free throws taken; tick = expected before tip-off.
The closer
18 Q4 fouls vs 12.7 a quarter before
Louder late
18 of the Q4 fouls came with the game within 10 points, 0 with it wider.
Foul-trouble watch: Jaren Jackson Jr. (UTA)
5 fouls · 20 pts · 33 min
Key whistles
- Q3 7:38 Walker Kessler (LAL), personal foul: 4th foul in Q3
- Q3 6:42 Austin Reaves (LAL), personal foul: 4th foul in Q3
- Q4 8:35 Austin Reaves (LAL), offensive foul: 5th foul
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
CREW READ
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
What this crew calls
vs league, 1.00× = average
Light on technical fouls: 0.91× the league rate.
- Offensive fouls and charges0.95×
- Shooting fouls1.01×
- Loose-ball fouls0.99×
- Take fouls1.03×
- Technical fouls0.91×
- Traveling1.01×
Per game in this crew's games since 2022-23, against league average; each official shrunk toward league until the games pile up. Every call counts for all three officials.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
LAL should get to the line more: about 3.1 extra free throws.
When LAL have the ballBusy end
quietleague middlebusy
LAL draw fouls: 6th most; get to the line: 1st most. UTA commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: 4th most. Expected free throws for LAL: 27.9.
When UTA have the ballLeans quiet
quietleague middlebusy
UTA draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 7th most. LAL commit fouls: 5th fewest; give up free throws: 5th fewest. Expected free throws for UTA: 24.8.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
LAL UTA
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
Pace
possessions per 48 minutes
97slower · faster107
- LAL 100.2 · 26th fastest
- UTA 105.4 · 3rd fastest
- Expected tonight 102.8
- Actual 103.8 (+1.0 vs expected)
Crew’s pace lean: neutral (26th percentile of crews on the slate). Crews do nudge pace, but only by about 0.7 possessions between the fastest and slowest tenth; the teams decide almost all of it.
What to expect
vs league avg
LAL
27.9
free throws
UTA
24.8
free throws
Who’s out
LAL
Nobody listed
UTA
Nobody listed
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 236.5 → 237.5▲ 1 |
|---|---|
| Spread | UTA +6.5 → +6.5 |
| Moneyline | LAL -258 → -250 · UTA +210 → +205 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls−0.3 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.0 and +0.4 per 100 poss.
n = 176 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws+0.2 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.7 and +1.1 per 100 poss.
n = 176 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line−0.1 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.0 and +0.8 points.
n = 176 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Download the post-game card for sharing.
Counts and rates, not verdicts. One game is noise; we score the crew read by season: our track record.