“Average crew, average whistle, and my read held up, which I'll say loud. Siakam picked up three fouls and still scored 21, so the stripes weren't the story. Brooklyn hosted Indiana and still lost the house.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · Final
IND @ BKN Indiana at Brooklyn
THE CREWBrian Forte(44)chief·Tyler Ford(4)·Dannica Baroody(new)
IND 136BKN 109
WHISTLE VOLUME
46.0
fouls per 100 possessions · +0.8 vs average
1,834th busiest of 13,626 games since 2015
OUR CREW READ
Right direction
Read as average before tip-off; it came in +0.8 fouls per 100 vs average.
Fouls by quarter
IND BKN
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| IND | 21.0 → 22.7 | 24.2 → 20.8 |
| BKN | 21.4 → 23.3 | 25.2 → 34.5 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: IND 22, BKN 37.
Free throws: actual vs expected
Bar = free throws taken; tick = expected before tip-off.
The closer
10 Q4 fouls vs 12.3 a quarter before
Quieter late
0 of the Q4 fouls came with the game within 10 points, 10 with it wider.
Foul-trouble watch: Pascal Siakam (IND)
3 fouls · 21 pts · 26 min
Key whistles
- Q2 4:43 Pascal Siakam (IND), shooting foul: 3rd foul before half
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
CREW READ
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
What this crew calls
vs league, 1.00× = average
Heavy on technical fouls: 1.09× the league rate.
- Offensive fouls and charges1.00×
- Shooting fouls1.01×
- Loose-ball fouls0.96×
- Take fouls0.97×
- Technical fouls1.09×
- Traveling1.02×
Per game in this crew's games since 2022-23, against league average; each official shrunk toward league until the games pile up. Every call counts for all three officials.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
BKN should get to the line more: about 1.4 extra free throws.
When IND have the ballLeans busy
quietleague middlebusy
IND draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 9th fewest. BKN commit fouls: 2nd most; give up free throws: 5th most. Expected free throws for IND: 25.6.
When BKN have the ballLeans busy
quietleague middlebusy
BKN draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: mid-pack. IND commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: 7th most. Expected free throws for BKN: 27.0.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
IND BKN
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
Pace
possessions per 48 minutes
97slower · faster108
- IND 104 · 10th fastest
- BKN 100.7 · 24th fastest
- Expected tonight 102.3
- Actual 106.5 (+4.2 vs expected)
Crew’s pace lean: neutral (32th percentile of crews on the slate). Crews do nudge pace, but only by about 0.7 possessions between the fastest and slowest tenth; the teams decide almost all of it.
What to expect
vs league avg
IND
25.6
free throws
BKN
27.0
free throws
Who’s out
IND
Nobody listed
BKN
Nobody listed
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 232.5 → 231.5▼ 1 |
|---|---|
| Spread | BKN +5.5 → +5.5 |
| Moneyline | IND -218 → -218 · BKN +180 → +180 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls−0.1 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.8 and +0.7 per 100 poss.
n = 82 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws+0.3 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.6 and +1.2 per 100 poss.
n = 82 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line−0.3 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.2 and +0.6 points.
n = 82 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Download the post-game card for sharing.
Counts and rates, not verdicts. One game is noise; we score the crew read by season: our track record.