“My read called this crew average, and I still got humbled. The Spurs walked into Dallas and won 122-106 on a quiet whistle, 36 fouls all night. The only thing in foul trouble tonight was my reputation.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Final
SAS @ DAL San Antonio at Dallas
THE CREWPhenizee Ransom(3)chief·Tre Maddox(81)·Karl Lane(38)
SAS 122DAL 106
WHISTLE VOLUME
34.5
fouls per 100 possessions · −11.2 vs average
quieter than 70% of games since 2015
OUR READ
Quieter than we said
Expected 40.7 fouls per 100 for both teams; it came in at 34.6 (−6.1).
The crew’s tendency alone read average.
One game swings about 5 per 100 around any read; we print the misses as loud as the hits.
Fouls by quarter
SAS DAL
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| SAS | 20.8 → 14.3 | 22.7 → 15.2 |
| DAL | 19.9 → 20.3 | 23.4 → 7.7 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: SAS 16, DAL 8.
Free throws: actual vs expected
Bar = free throws taken; tick = expected before tip-off.
The closer
9 Q4 fouls vs 9.0 a quarter before
Steady to the end
4 of the Q4 fouls came with the game within 10 points, 5 with it wider.
Foul-trouble watch: P.J. Washington (DAL)
4 fouls · 12 pts · 36 min
Key whistles
- Q1 8:21 Daniel Gafford (DAL), loose ball foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q2 0:03 Daniel Gafford (DAL), shooting foul: 3rd foul before half
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
THE CREW’S TENDENCY
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
What this crew calls
vs league, 1.00× = average
A league-average call mix: no call type stands out.
- Offensive fouls and charges1.01×
- Shooting fouls1.00×
- Loose-ball fouls0.98×
- Take fouls0.95×
- Technical fouls1.02×
- Traveling0.98×
Per game in this crew's games since 2022-23, against league average; each official shrunk toward league until the games pile up. Every call counts for all three officials.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
Both ends look alike: no free-throw edge either way.
When SAS have the ballLeans quiet
quietleague middlebusy
SAS draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 10th most. DAL commit fouls: 1st fewest; give up free throws: 4th fewest. Expected free throws for SAS: 23.8.
When DAL have the ballMiddle of the road
quietleague middlebusy
DAL draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 8th most. SAS commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: 3rd fewest. Expected free throws for DAL: 24.2.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
SAS DAL
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
Pace
possessions per 48 minutes
97slower · faster107
- SAS 102.6 · 15th fastest
- DAL 105 · 4th fastest
- Expected tonight 103.8
- Actual 104.3 (+0.5 vs expected)
Crew’s pace lean: neutral (47th percentile of crews on the slate). Crews do nudge pace, but only by about 0.7 possessions between the fastest and slowest tenth; the teams decide almost all of it.
What to expect
vs league avg
SAS
23.8
free throws
DAL
24.2
free throws
Who’s out
SAS
Nobody listed
DAL
Nobody listed
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 230.5 → 229.5▼ 1 |
|---|---|
| Spread | DAL +11.5 → +14.5 |
| Moneyline | SAS -470 → -900 · DAL +360 → +600 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls+0.2 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.5 and +0.9 per 100 poss.
n = 198 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws+0.1 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.8 and +1.0 per 100 poss.
n = 198 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line+0.3 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.5 and +1.2 points.
n = 198 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Download the post-game card for sharing.
Counts and rates, not verdicts. One game is noise; we score the crew read by season: our track record.