“We called this crew average. Average my a**: 49 fouls, and Memphis dropped 123 in their own building. That one's on me, and I'm still getting the stripes out of my eye.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Wed, Oct 21, 2026 · Final
UTA @ MEM Utah at Memphis
THE CREWTre Maddox(81)chief·Andy Nagy(17)·Ashley Moyer-Gleich(14)
UTA 103MEM 123
WHISTLE VOLUME
47.2
fouls per 100 possessions · +3.1 vs average
1,376th busiest of 13,597 games since 2015
OUR READ
Busier than we said
Expected 40.1 fouls per 100 for both teams; it came in at 47.1 (+7.0).
The crew’s tendency alone read average.
One game swings about 5 per 100 around any read; we print the misses as loud as the hits.
Fouls by quarter
UTA MEM
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| UTA | 20.2 → 22.4 | 23.5 → 32.2 |
| MEM | 19.9 → 24.7 | 24.3 → 26.6 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: UTA 33, MEM 28.
Free throws: actual vs expected
Bar = free throws taken; tick = expected before tip-off.
The closer
12 Q4 fouls vs 11.7 a quarter before
Steady to the end
0 of the Q4 fouls came with the game within 10 points, 12 with it wider.
Key whistles
- Q1 9:07 Cedric Coward (MEM), shooting foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q1 2:47 Jaren Jackson Jr. (UTA), loose ball foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q2 5:11 Keyonte George (UTA), shooting foul: 3rd foul before half
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
THE CREW’S TENDENCY
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
What this crew calls
vs league, 1.00× = average
A league-average call mix: no call type stands out.
- Offensive fouls and charges1.01×
- Shooting fouls1.02×
- Loose-ball fouls1.03×
- Take fouls1.03×
- Technical fouls1.02×
- Traveling0.94×
Per game in this crew's games since 2022-23, against league average; each official shrunk toward league until the games pile up. Every call counts for all three officials.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
MEM should get to the line more: about 1.5 extra free throws.
When UTA have the ballMiddle of the road
quietleague middlebusy
UTA draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: mid-pack. MEM commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: mid-pack. Expected free throws for UTA: 24.1.
When MEM have the ballMiddle of the road
quietleague middlebusy
MEM draw fouls: 7th fewest; get to the line: 9th fewest. UTA commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: 3rd most. Expected free throws for MEM: 25.6.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
UTA MEM
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
Pace
possessions per 48 minutes
97slower · faster107
- UTA 105.7 · 2nd fastest
- MEM 104.5 · 5th fastest
- Expected tonight 105.1
- Actual 103.9 (−1.2 vs expected)
Crew’s pace lean: neutral (82th percentile of crews on the slate). Crews do nudge pace, but only by about 0.7 possessions between the fastest and slowest tenth; the teams decide almost all of it.
What to expect
vs league avg
UTA
24.1
free throws
MEM
25.6
free throws
Who’s out
UTA
Nobody listed
MEM
Nobody listed
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 241.5 → 240.5▼ 1 |
|---|---|
| Spread | MEM +2.5 → -1.5 |
| Moneyline | UTA -148 → +105 · MEM +124 → -125 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls−0.3 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.1 and +0.4 per 100 poss.
n = 142 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws±0.0 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.9 and +0.9 per 100 poss.
n = 142 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line+0.3 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.6 and +1.2 points.
n = 142 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Download the post-game card for sharing.
Counts and rates, not verdicts. One game is noise; we score the crew read by season: our track record.