“Philly walked into NY's building and took it 106-100. I called this crew average. Forty-five fouls later, "average" was a lie I told my own mother.”
MONTY, THE MORNING AFTER
HOW THE WHISTLE WENT
Tue, Oct 20, 2026 · Final
PHI @ NYK Philadelphia at New York
THE CREWJosh Tiven(60)chief·Matt Myers(5)·Justin Van Duyne(24)
PHI 106NYK 100
- Total moved up 2
WHISTLE VOLUME
42.1
fouls per 100 possessions · +42.1 vs average
4,032nd busiest of 13,590 games since 2015
OUR READ
On the number
Expected 41.1 fouls per 100 for both teams; it came in at 42.1 (+1.0).
The crew’s tendency alone read average.
Fouls by quarter
PHI NYK
Expected vs actual
| Fouls / 100 | Free throws / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| PHI | 20.7 → 21.5 | 23.6 → 25.3 |
| NYK | 20.4 → 20.6 | 22.9 → 25.3 |
Expected before tip-off → what happened. Free throws: PHI 27, NYK 27.
Free throws: actual vs expected
Bar = free throws taken; tick = expected before tip-off.
The closer
11 Q4 fouls vs 11.0 a quarter before
Steady to the end
11 of the Q4 fouls came with the game within 10 points, 0 with it wider.
Key whistles
- Q1 8:46 Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK), offensive foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q1 2:18 OG Anunoby (NYK), personal foul: 2nd foul in Q1
- Q4 0:07 OG Anunoby (NYK), personal take foul: 5th foul, close finish
Picked by rule (foul trouble, close finish), not graded right or wrong.
BEFORE TIP-OFF
THE CREW’S TENDENCY
PENDING
The league posts referee assignments about 9 a.m. ET on game day. The crew read lands here as soon as it does.
What this crew calls
vs league, 1.00× = average
A league-average call mix: no call type stands out.
- Offensive fouls and charges1.02×
- Shooting fouls0.99×
- Loose-ball fouls0.95×
- Take fouls1.02×
- Technical fouls0.94×
- Traveling0.98×
Per game in this crew's games since 2022-23, against league average; each official shrunk toward league until the games pile up. Every call counts for all three officials.
The free-throw battle
how busy each end should be
Both ends look alike: no free-throw edge either way.
When PHI have the ballLeans busy
quietleague middlebusy
PHI draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: mid-pack. NYK commit fouls: 8th most; give up free throws: mid-pack. Expected free throws for PHI: 25.2.
When NYK have the ballMiddle of the road
quietleague middlebusy
NYK draw fouls: mid-pack; get to the line: 8th fewest. PHI commit fouls: mid-pack; give up free throws: mid-pack. Expected free throws for NYK: 24.5.
League ranks this season, out of 30.
Where they stand
PHI NYK
Overall
When they defend
When they attack
League rank out of 30 this season, 1st = best for the team: most points scored, fewest allowed, fewest fouls and free throws given up, most fouls drawn and trips to the line. The right-hand number is how many places the leader is ahead.
Pace
possessions per 48 minutes
97slower · faster108
- PHI 102.3 · 16th fastest
- NYK 99.6 · 28th fastest
- Expected tonight 100.9
- Actual 106.9 (+6.0 vs expected)
Crew’s pace lean: neutral (13th percentile of crews on the slate). Crews do nudge pace, but only by about 0.7 possessions between the fastest and slowest tenth; the teams decide almost all of it.
What to expect
vs league avg
PHI
25.2
free throws
NYK
24.5
free throws
Who’s out
PHI
Nobody listed
NYK
Nobody listed
The lines
DraftKings · open → close
| Total | 229.5 → 231.5▲ 2 |
|---|---|
| Spread | NYK -3.5 → -4.5 |
| Moneyline | PHI +142 → +145 · NYK -170 → -175 |
For information only. Prices move; check your book. 19+ (21+ in most of the US).
The crew read in detail: fouls, free throws and points vs the line
Fouls−0.5 per 100 poss not clear
Personal fouls by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average, after allowing for the two teams.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.1 and +0.2 per 100 poss.
n = 176 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Free throws−0.3 per 100 poss not clear
Free-throw attempts by both teams per 100 possessions, against the league average.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −1.2 and +0.6 per 100 poss.
n = 176 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Points vs the line−0.1 points not clear
Final points minus the closing total in this crew's games. Near zero means the market already prices the crew.
Not clearly different from average: 80% likely between −0.9 and +0.8 points.
n = 176 games (fewest on the crew). Each dot is one in twenty likely outcomes.
Download the post-game card for sharing.
Counts and rates, not verdicts. One game is noise; we score the crew read by season: our track record.